DAP/MAP: Price volatility lies ahead

March 12th, 2014 by Chris Yearsley / CEO, Head of Nitrogen

Our latest analysis points to volatile price action from now to Q4 2014 in global phosphate fertilizer markets. While a strong uptrend was witnessed in the northern hemisphere in Q1, a fall in demand and greater output in Q2 is expected to see a change in global market fortunes. However, the trade balance for Q3 paints a more positive picture before stocks are expected to build in Q4.

Provided to subscribers of the Phosphates and NPKs Service, the latest forecast report provides detailed analysis on the prospects for the global phosphate market. The forecasts typically provide an accessible but comprehensive overview and assess:

Market volatility and the impact of demand and supply deferral in global DAP and MAP markets
Month-by-month trade surplus and deficit moves
Price outlooks and tipping points, including price projections
An assessment of the cumulative global trade surplus and deficits this year, taking into consideration production increases and likely year-end stock build
A review of DAP cash-cost thresholds

The report is provided as part of the Profercy Phosphates & NPKs Service which offers regular market updates, comprehensive market analysis and weekly price ranges, as well as DAP and MAP trade forecasts. For more information and to register for a free trial, click here.

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Behind The Data

Forecasting Urea markets requires more than data, it demands experience, context, and an understanding of what truly drives change. From production costs and policy shifts to global trade balances, our team analyses every factor shaping the months and years ahead.

For over two decades, Profercy has refined a forecasting approach built on trusted data, deep fertilizer market relationships, and expert interpretation, helping our subscribers turn complexity into clarity.

We are proud to deliver forward-looking insights that guide some of the industry’s most important commercial decisions. Focused on providing clarity in uncertain markets - built on facts, experience, and decades of industry understanding.

Chris Yearsley

CEO, Head of Nitrogen

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