As September comes into view, supply pressure mounts on producers

Despite relative inactivity, global nitrogen values have declined by the sharpest amount since the latest downturn began in mid/late July. The ongoing downturn is being exacerbated by the delayed Indian urea tender announcement. This has been widely attributed to the tendering agency in India needing to free up credit lines and resources before holding the…

Chinese urea offers sink on weak domestic demand, escalating freight rates and delayed Indian tender

The Profercy World Nitrogen Index (PWNI) has been pressured lower, with escalating freight rates once again a matter of concern and impacting fob urea values in a number of regions this week. With uncertainty surrounding when India will announce its next tender and the Chinese domestic market in the offseason, export offers from the world’s…

Sensing further weakness ahead, urea buyers step back from the market or lower bids

The Profercy World Nitrogen Index has declined for the third consecutive week. Buyers have noticeably taken a step back from the market and reduced bids speculatively, particularly in Brazil. In fob regions that rely on western business, traders have been unwilling to accept producer offer levels or take on positions. In some regions such as…

China’s return to the international urea market ends bull run

China’s return to the international urea market this week ended the bull run that began end-April. The sale of around 650,000t of urea from China aided India in securing 1.2m. tonnes of product in the latest purchasing tender, the largest single purchase since December 2020. Netbacks in the tender for suppliers were healthy, around $485pt…

CF Industries files petitions to launch antidumping and countervailing duty investigations into UAN imports from Russia and Trinidad

CF Industries has filed petitions with the US Department of Commerce and the US International Trade Commission (ITC) requesting the initiation of antidumping and countervailing duty investigations on imports of UAN from Russian and Trinidad and Tobago. The ITC has now officially listed an active import injury investigation on its website (Inv. No. 701-TA-668-669 and…

PWNI makes small gains, but is set to move higher with India facing offers over $500pt cfr in latest urea tender

The Profercy World Nitrogen Index has increased by 2.81 points this week to 213.46. Gains have not been as steep as in recent weeks, however, with the urea market waiting for the outcome of the latest Indian purchasing inquiry for much of the week. Importers, particularly those in the west, have been on the side-lines,…