China: Industry body unveils action plan, call for reduced urea exports met with muted international response

Urea export availability from China has played a major role in shaping global market movements in the second half of this year. Indeed, inspection controls have waxed and waned in tandem with domestic market movements. Most notably, in August and September domestic and international traders faced more onerous CIQ inspections in the wake of 1.1m.…

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Few fireworks in global ammonia market as seasonal factors dampen demand

Softening demand and stronger supply have combined to create downward price pressure in the international ammonia market for late 2023/early 2024 business, with a November spot sale in Algeria agreed at a $20-25pt discount to last business. The market is far better balanced than previous months on plant restarts and with no sign of major…

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Urea: China’s comeback aids India in securing 1.76m. tonnes, undermining bull rally and raising doubts over Q4 support levels

IPL made light work of securing a multi-year record volume through the latest import tender, almost exclusively owing to China’s return to the international stage. As much as 1.1m. tonnes of urea has been committed to India from China for shipment by 26 September, signaling the most significant export business since September 2021, when over…

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Bullish sentiment persists; urea values rally buoyed by supply challenges, Indian demand and strong energy and grain fundamentals

Urea values stepped up another level in trading early this week, prolonging a rally that began mid-June and shows no signs of easing in the near-term. In latest business, Egyptian granular urea has traded at $450pt fob, up more than $165pt in a little over six weeks. Producer price ideas have now moved on with…

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Nitrogen Index advances despite ammonia market woes

The recovery of Profercy’s Nitrogen Index from the mid-June lows extended for a further week on the back of price gains in urea, ammonium sulphate and nitrate markets. The ongoing challenges in the global ammonia market, as reflected in the sharp drop in the Tampa contract price, were insufficient to hold back gains. The Index,…

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Yara enticed by new blue ammonia capacity in the US as European plants face uncertain future

  Yara plans to invest up to $2 billion in a second state-of-the-art blue ammonia plant as the Scandinavian group continues its push into low-carbon production capacity in the US and mulls permanent shutdowns of some European ammonia plants. Having recently set aside up to $1.45 billion for the full offtake of a 1.2-1.4m.t per…

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Urea prices bolstered by supply cutbacks, Chinese export restraint and short covering for Europe

Pre-Indian tender negativity has given way to newfound producer optimism in the urea market. Business was finalised earlier this week in Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers’ (RCF) import tender, with the Middle East and Russia covering almost all business. The tender saw just 560,000t lined up against a target of 800,000t for shipment by 17 July.…

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